Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.104012 16.124563 18.277015 20.734581 23.456540 26.372731 29.726871
2025-10-26 10.879367 13.534416 16.554534 20.221232 24.528223 29.401943 35.307876
2025-11-02 8.932297 11.869177 15.382726 19.849843 25.328153 31.775502 39.880590
2025-11-09 7.502615 10.562622 14.387079 19.443919 25.872655 33.686337 43.805214
2025-11-16 6.414087 9.520895 13.560715 19.092158 26.349659 35.419859 47.467688
2025-11-23 5.455786 8.522424 12.663643 18.523120 26.439074 36.587613 50.380793
2025-11-30 4.888241 7.990204 12.320896 18.625559 27.359040 38.800205 54.652769
2025-12-07 4.395177 7.504449 11.985224 18.685584 28.186013 40.881991 58.785459
2025-12-14 4.007673 7.130423 11.766251 18.872497 29.165635 43.171420 63.237239
2025-12-21 3.628170 6.725449 11.460333 18.896320 29.891491 45.113601 67.253324
2025-12-28 3.405424 6.546461 11.473847 19.377092 31.273001 47.987932 72.612769
2026-01-04 3.168235 6.317367 11.386381 19.687971 32.403216 50.528717 77.564985
2026-01-11 2.901434 6.014735 11.164139 19.782902 33.224404 52.671173 82.048455
2026-01-18 2.549134 5.522599 10.593317 19.288272 33.121038 53.460804 84.613584
2026-01-25 2.262983 5.117821 10.132012 18.930991 33.195079 54.490469 87.528981
2026-02-01 2.004060 4.733879 9.672680 18.540555 33.185019 55.375604 90.235647
2026-02-08 1.782087 4.395522 9.263691 18.202263 33.229637 56.326994 93.045886
2026-02-15 1.555808 4.019892 8.754609 17.655107 32.900134 56.680287 94.951004
2026-02-22 1.437124 3.856421 8.623058 17.753598 33.625476 58.672686 99.371538
2026-03-01 1.324296 3.692031 8.475659 17.811311 34.277782 60.560739 103.669486
2026-03-08 1.235171 3.570191 8.400105 17.991035 35.136764 62.791465 108.540389
2026-03-15 1.136989 3.415087 8.245786 18.013943 35.722172 64.594373 112.780470
2026-03-22 1.090375 3.377930 8.325934 18.476283 37.081033 67.673008 119.082282